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Predictive Intelligence

Mapping The Anatomy of Repression

Political PrisonerWatch is an open-source intelligence platform. We combine automated data aggregation with cutting-edge machine learning to document, analyze, and forecast political persecution patterns globally.

A Global Vision

Political repression is not confined by borders. While our initial infrastructure was stress-tested against the complex legal apparatus of specific regimes like the Russian Federation, our architecture was built to scale universally.

We are actively expanding our scope across borders, integrating international case law, global sanctions data, and regional persecution metrics to create the world's first truly predictive, multi-national political prisoner watch system.

Indexing Injustice Worldwide

Expansion Infrastructure

Automated Multi-lingual Scraping
Cross-border Legal Mapping
Global Sanctions Aggregation
Real-time Extradition Analysis

The Team

Political PrisonerWatch is guided by a team of human rights experts, legal scholars, and technologists dedicated to documenting state repression.

Steve Swerdlow

Steve Swerdlow, Esq.

Oversight & Founder

Steve Swerdlow, Esq. serves as Oversight and Founder of Political Prisoner Watch. He is a human rights lawyer and Associate Professor of the Practice of Human Rights at the University of Southern California. An expert on the former Soviet region, he teaches international human rights law, research, and advocacy.

Previously, he served as Senior Central Asia researcher at Human Rights Watch from 2010 to 2019, where he led work on Uzbekistan and Tajikistan and founded the organization’s Kyrgyzstan field office. His extensive field experience includes missions to Azerbaijan, Moldova, Russia, and Kazakhstan. He also served as a legal officer for the International Organization for Migration and practiced law in San Francisco. He received his J.D. from UC Berkeley School of Law and an M.A. in International Affairs from Columbia University.

Changelog

A transparent log of every major feature, expansion, and improvement shipped to the platform.

* We hope to expand our coverage to include more countries in the future. As we build and create new features, they will be showcased here.

A Tool For The Frontlines

Political PrisonerWatch isn't just a database. It's a fortified utility built specifically for those actively defending human rights in real-time.

For Advocates & Activists

Track systemic repression trends, monitor the rollout of surveillance technologies across different jurisdictions, and coordinate rapid response campaigns using our high-urgency categorization models.

For Lawyers & Legal Defenders

Instantly identify inflated charges, cross-reference prosecution templates across hundreds of similar cases, and use our automated AI tools to draft robust asylum and sanctions affidavits instantly.

For Journalists

Uncover hidden narratives. Use our semantic topic modeling to break stories on shifts in state prosecution tactics before they become mainstream news.

For Families & Loved Ones

Monitor case urgency, track prison transfers securely, and safely seek community and international awareness to apply strategic pressure on detention centers.

The Intelligence Engine

Under the hood, our standalone Python ML microservice runs continuous predictive pipelines, transforming raw court documents into actionable intelligence.

XGBoost

Core Classifiers

Predicts the probability of torture and high-urgency status based on demographic data, arrest circumstances, and charge severity.

LightGBM

Surveillance Attribution

Identifies cases involving specific facial recognition tools or digital wiretaps to track the spread of state surveillance tech.

Facebook Prophet

Trend Forecasting

Performs time-series 90-day forecasting on arrest rates, helping organizations preemptively allocate legal and financial resources.

NMF (NLP)

Topic Modeling

Extracts and clusters evolving narrative themes from thousands of prosecution summaries to reveal new angles of state attacks.

SGD Classifier

Inflation Detector

Flags cases where standard administrative charges are mathematically likely to be artificially inflated into severe criminal felonies.

K-Means / TF-IDF

Template Detection

Finds distinctly identical prosecution narratives reused across different courts, proving coordinated political targeting from the top.

Transparent by Design

Every prediction is backed by rigorous data science. We publish our full technical methodology, model performance metrics, and dataset constraints.